On May 11, 2020, we withdrew the ratings at the issuer's request. . Later, the issuer commenced a Chapter 11 bankruptcy and was looking to restructure its capital structure. Defaulted issuers initially rated 'BB' show a similar pattern but peak a little later, in the fourth year. On Feb. 7, 2020, S&P Global Ratings lowered its long-term issuer credit rating on Commercial Barge Line Co. to 'D' from 'CC' after its subsidiary, American Commercial Lines Inc., filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy with the Southern District of Texas. The company issued new money debt of about US$155 million and released another US$492 million of preferred stock to lenders who contributed new money. Corporate downgrades also increased, to near an all-time high. And as a general rule, the highest proportions of rating changes for any given rating or rating modifier occur at adjacent ratings and rating modifiers. Several sectors have had distinct default cycles, such as the high technology, computers, and office equipment sector and the telecommunications sector, which both fueled the prolonged spike in defaults during the tech bubble, when the global speculative-grade default rate reached 12.2% in June 2002. In 2010-2020, about 77% of the initial ratings that S&P Global Ratings assigned to new issuers were speculative grade. PDF Markets, Bankers and Analysts Differ on 2021's Default Rate Any Passwords/user IDs issued by S&P to users are single user-dedicated and may ONLY be used by the individual to whom they have been assigned. On Nov. 18, 2020, S&P Global Ratings lowered its long-term issuer credit rating on Texas-based debt issuing company Summit Midstream Partners Holdings LLC to 'D' from 'CC' after the issuer closed its sole debt restructuring transaction, at a significant discount. The issuer aims to eliminate US$840 million of debt by using restructuring and a US$230 million debtor-in-possession facility. Over the long term, the global weighted average Gini coefficient was 82.8% over the one-year horizon, 75.3% over three years, 71.5% over five years, and 69.2% over seven years (see table 27). The issuer was also in talks with its lenders and noteholders for a comprehensive financial restructuring. On Feb. 24, 2020, S&P Global Ratings lowered its long-term issuer credit rating on Mississippi-based consumer products supplier VIP Cinema Holdings Inc. to 'D' from 'CCC-' after the issuer filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy. On March 19, 2020, S&P Global Ratings lowered its long-term issuer credit rating on Singapore-based Geo Energy Resources Ltd. to 'SD' from 'B-' after the issuer completed debt buybacks. On April 3, 2020, S&P Global Ratings lowered its long-term issuer credit rating on California-based clinical toxicology laboratory services provider New Millennium Holdco Inc. to 'D' from 'CC'. Defaults arise disproportionately from low rating categories, and this holds true over longer time horizons (see table 14). to 'D' from 'CCC-'. Often these are issuer-weighted averages. This restructuring was viewed as a distressed exchange because it would delay the interest payments. For instance, in the three years ended Dec. 31, 2020, 402 nonfinancial companies defaulted, while only 24 financials did. Dive Brief: T he default rate for speculative-grade corporate debt will gradually rise to 2.4% by the end of 2022 from 1.7% at the end of last year, remaining well below the 4.1% long-term average as companies navigate monetary policy tightening in many countries, according to Moody's Investors Service. With the strongly improved U.S. economic outlook for 2021, the speculative-grade negative . Three of the large downgrades in 2020 were from Kazakhstan-based Grain Insurance Co. JSC, U.A.E-based NMC Health PLC, and U.S.-based Garrett Motion Inc. that defaulted during the year. On April 1, 2020, S&P Global Ratings lowered its long-term issuer credit rating on Utah-based credit report repair service provider PGX Holdings Inc. to 'D' from 'CCC'. On April 3, 2020, S&P Global Ratings lowered its long-term issuer credit rating on Canada-based theatrical and live entertainment company CDS Group to 'D' from 'CCC-', reflecting payment default after the issuer didn't made interest and principal payments on first lien-debt and interest payment on second-lien debt, both of which were due March 31, 2020. Globally, speculative-grade issuers constituted 50.3% of rated corporate issuers at the end of 2020, whereas at the end of 2019, speculative-grade ratings represented 49.9% of global ratings (see chart 22). Export PDF Export CSV Email . On July 6, 2020, we raised our issue credit rating on Serta Simmons to 'CCC+' from 'SD', reflecting the improved liquidity profile, although the capital structure is still highly leveraged, and the company amended and extended its asset-based lending credit facility maturity to August 2023 from November 2021. PDF China Banking System Credit trends amid policy-led recovery and a Note: The totals included may differ from the counts in table 1 because defaults that are not rated at the beginning of the pool year are excluded. This caused high liquidity constraints for Hertz. On Oct. 20, 2020, S&P Global Ratings assigned its 'B-' issuer credit rating on the company, with a negative outlook. According to S&P, at the end of 2020, their 12-month trailing default rates amounted to 6.6% for U.S. speculative-grade. Ten of the defaulters in 2020 were initially rated investment grade, and the other 216 (96% of the total) were initially rated speculative grade. Defaults reached a multiyear high in 2020, but this was largely limited to nonfinancial corporates. Default rate calculation. On Aug. 26, 2020, S&P Global Ratings raised the issuer credit rating to 'B-' from 'SD'. On Jan. 18, 2021, S&P Global Ratings withdrew its ratings at the issuer's request. One-year Gini coefficients appear to be broadly cyclical and negatively correlated with default rates (see chart 30). On April 28, 2020, S&P Global Ratings lowered its long-term issuer credit rating on Delaware-based physician staffing and ambulatory services company Envision Healthcare Corp. to 'SD' from 'CC' after the settlement of its debt exchange offer on the notes due in 2026 and offering on 53-55 cents on the dollar for the new secured term debt. On Aug. 26, 2020, S&P Global Ratings lowered its long-term issuer credit rating on New York-based fitness club operator Town Sports International Holdings Inc. to 'SD' from 'CC' after the issuer failed to pay its US$14 million outstanding revolver balance. These factors, combined with asset managers' growing tolerance for investing in lower-rated companies, leave just a handful of the highest-rated entities. Table 29 displays the summary of one-year transitions in the investment-grade and speculative-grade rating categories. After experiencing high downgrade and default rates in 2020, ratings were much more stable in 2021. Corporate default rate climbed in December. To reprint, translate, or use the data or information other than as provided herein, contact S&P Global Ratings, Client Services, 55 Water Street, New York, NY 10041; (1) 212-438-7280 or by e-mail to: research_request@spglobal.com. Moody's Seasoned Baa Corporate Bond Yield-Moody's Seasoned Aaa Corporate Bond Yield. NAIC - Supporting Insurance, Regulators, & Public Interest On June 11, 2020, S&P Global Ratings withdrew its credit ratings on the issuer. to 'SD' from 'B-' after the issuer missed the Oct. 31 coupon payment on its senior secured notes due 2023. On Feb. 21, 2020, S&P Global Ratings lowered its long-term issuer credit rating on China-based high technology service provider Tunghsu Group Co. Ltd. to 'SD' from 'CCC-' after the issuer missed interest and principal payments on three onshore bonds. On June 15, 2020, S&P Global Ratings lowered its long-term issuer credit rating on Calfrac to 'D' from 'CCC-' after the issuer missed an interest payment due on June 15 and entered into the grace period. On Dec. 7, 2020, S&P Global Ratings raised the issuer credit rating to 'B-' from 'SD' on improved liquidity with constraints from high leverage. Normally, recessions include, or are followed shortly by, marked increases in corporate defaults. Expansive Dataset: Includes more than 800,000 individual debt securities, both corporate and sovereign entities, and default history starting from 1920. . On Aug. 19, 2020, S&P Global Ratings lowered its long-term issuer credit rating on Georgia-based building products producer Omnimax International Inc. to 'D' from 'CCC-' after the issuer announced that it missed a principal repayment due on its US$385 million senior notes. U.S., Bermuda, and the Cayman Islands, Other developed: To facilitate the proposed exchange, the issuer entered a new term loan facility of US$190 million maturing in 2024. Higher ratings show a negative correspondence with the observed frequency of default. On Oct. 15, 2020, S&P Global Ratings raised the issuer credit rating to 'CCC+' from 'SD' on approval of the reorganizational plan amendment. The coronavirus pandemic-related business disruption (i.e., diamond sales and marketing) affected the cash flow of the issuer. On May 11, 2020, S&P Global Ratings lowered its long-term issuer credit rating on Chinese furniture maker Yihua Enterprise (Group) Co. Ltd. to 'SD' from 'CCC' after the issuer failed to make interest payment on its domestic medium-term notes due 2022. In its base case, Moody's analyzed the underlying collateral pool as having a performing par (after treating deferring securities as performing if they meet certain criteria) of $260.9 million, defaulted/deferring par of $0 million, a weighted average default probability of 12.33% (implying a WARF of 1527), and a weighted average recovery rate . Earlier, on March 20, 2020, we lowered the ratings to 'CC' from 'CCC-' based on our view that the issuer has an unsustainable capital structure and weak liquidity. On April 10, 2020, S&P Global Ratings lowered its long-term issuer credit rating on Turkey-based household appliance manufacturer Vestel Elektronik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. to 'SD' from 'CCC+' after the issuer postponed a portion of its financial obligation due in June for three to six months. S&P Global Ratings viewed the repurchases as a distressed debt restructuring given the significant discount to par, cumulative size of the transactions, and W&T's weakened credit profile brought on by the weak and erratic pricing for crude oil and natural gas in 2020. On Oct. 15, 2020, S&P Global Ratings raised the issuer credit rating to 'CCC' from 'SD' following completion of the distressed exchange. 'R' (regulatory intervention) indicates that an obligor is under regulatory supervision owing to its financial condition. On June 5, 2020, S&P Global Ratings lowered its long-term issuer credit rating on Colorado-based APC Automotive Technologies Intermediate Holdings LLC to 'D' from 'CCC' after the issuer announced it was commencing Chapter 11 bankruptcy proceedings. On Oct. 19, 2020, S&P Global Ratings lowered its long-term issuer credit rating on Oklahoma-based home security and monitoring company Central Security Group Inc. to 'SD' from 'CCC-' after the issuer completed a distressed debt exchange on the first-lien credit facility, in which lenders will exchange about US$396 million of their respective claims for a new US$200 million first-lien term loan due 2025 and most of the reorganized equity, and the second-lien lenders will exchange 100% of their US$50 million claim for 1% of the company's reorganized equity. Because of the extremely small size of the 'AAA' rating category, the downgrade of even one issuer will have a large effect on this segment's stability rate. PGS was also in talks with lenders to secure a new capital structure. On July 20, 2020, we withdrew the ratings on the issuer. On June 15, 2020, S&P Global Ratings lowered its long-term issuer credit rating on Virginia-based tobacco leaf merchant Pyxus International Inc to 'D' from 'CCC-' after the issuer announced a reorganization process under Chapter 11 of the U.S. Bankruptcy Code with 92% of principal amount of its first-lien notes and 67% of its second-lien notes holders. On April 8, 2020, S&P Global Ratings lowered its long-term issuer credit rating on Texas-based specialized crane service provider North American Lifting Holdings Inc. to 'SD' from 'CCC-'. We consider companies reemerging from prior defaults to be separate entities, and their rating histories begin with the post-default rating. For this study, the Lorenz curve is plotted with the x-axis showing the cumulative share of issuers, arranged by rating, while the y-axis represents the cumulative share of defaulters, also arranged by rating. As a supplement to many of the averages and time series presented in this study, standard deviations are also shown to provide a gauge of the dispersion of data behind these averages. On Dec. 8, 2020, we raised our rating on Outerstuff to 'CCC' from 'SD', reflecting its restructured debt and licensing agreements, though it still has high leverage and less than adequate liquidity. The remaining SEK1,615 million was converted into new hybrid notes. On Nov. 17, 2020, S&P Global Ratings lowered its long-term issuer credit rating on Colorado-based exploration and production company Jonah Energy LLC to 'D' from 'CCC-' after the issuer elected not to make its full US$30 million reserve-based lending facility deficiency payment for September. Each static pool is followed from that point forward. Default, Transition, and Recovery: 2019 Annual Global Corporate Default On May 11, 2020, we withdrew the ratings on the issuer. On Oct. 12, 2020, Texas-based oil and gas exploration and production company MD America Energy LLC filed for bankruptcy under Chapter 11 of the U.S. Bankruptcy Code, which S&P Global Ratings considers a default. On July 7, 2020, we withdrew our long-term issuer credit rating at the issuer's request. We calculated standard deviations for Gini ratios in this study as the standard deviations of a sample, and not those of a population. On Sept. 25, 2020, we withdrew our 'D' long-term issuer and issue credit ratings at the issuer's request. On July 6, 2004, we withdrew our ratings on the issuer. Moody's expects the overall default rate for commodity companies to fall sharply this year, to 3.4% from 12.6% in 2016. Over this same period, as the number of the highest-rated investment-grade companies dwindled, the count of the lowest-rated investment-grade companies surged. For instance, the 1981 static pool consists of all companies rated as of 12:00:01 a.m. on Jan. 1, 1981. Earlier, on April 8, 2020, we lowered the issuer credit rating on Fieldwood to 'CCC' from 'B-', reflecting the issuer's weak credit metrics, constrained liquidity, and the potential that it may breach covenants on its first-lien term loan. The company will continue its operation with operating cash flow liquidity and another US$50 million from debtors. Date Document Type Title Issuer/Entity 24 Feb 2023 Data Report Fleet Lease Securitizations: Loss Severity Modeling On May 29, 2020, we raised the issuer credit rating to 'CCC-' from 'SD', reflecting our view of the approaching maturities that may have led to further restructuring of its capital. While these payments would have a higher interest rate, we considered this modification a selective default since investors were receiving less than they were originally promised under the security, partly because the amendment would delay the timing of the interest payments. On July 20, 2020, S&P Global Ratings lowered its long-term issuer credit rating on North Carolina-based sock manufacturer Renfro Corp. to 'SD' from 'CCC-' after the issuer completed a distressed exchange. We believe this bankruptcy filing is due to the combined effect of the coronavirus pandemic and the company's weak performance in 2019. This was the second-largest default since 2014, when Texas Competitive Electric Holdings Co. LLC defaulted with $28.7 billion in associated debt (see table 5). On July 13, 2020, S&P Global Ratings lowered its long-term issuer credit rating on Texas-based frac-sand and logistics company Hi-Crush Inc. to 'D' from 'CC' after the issuer filed for bankruptcy under Chapter 11 and entered into a restructuring support agreement with noteholders who control 94% of the company's senior unsecured notes due in 2026.
moody's corporate default and recovery rates 2020 pdf
22/04/2023
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moody's corporate default and recovery rates 2020 pdf