They also debate the meaning of a recent poll from Axios that suggests Americans are exhausted. We also look at the future of inflation with economist Kenneth Rogoff. MAJORITY 255 REP SEATS 240 225 225 240 255 DEM SEATS 84 in 100 84 in 100 Republicans win Republicans win 16 in 100 16 in 100 . Listen to FiveThirtyEight Politics on Spotify. In recent weeks, Democrats odds of keeping control of the Senate after the 2022 midterms have ticked up to sixty percent, according to our deluxe forecast model. Its a bold suggestion, and in this installment of the podcast we interrogate it. They also discuss how the country has changed demographically and geographically over the past decade, based on the newly released 2020 census data. 71 Episodes Share Follow Seasons About 38 minutes | Feb 16, 2023 The Hero Who Rode His Segway Off a Cliff Steve Jobs called It "the most amazing piece of technology since the PC." According to Jeff Bezos It was not only "revolutionary," but infinitely commercial. The crew discusses Congress's recent slew of legislation and whether that trend will continue with the new "Inflation Reduction Act." It's tempting to use the special election to gauge the national political environment, but the crew explains why one election alone isn't a reliable indicator. The crew discusses what the political environment is likely to look like in 2022 based on history and current indicators. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. Tensions between the U.S. and China have grown in recent years and, in this installment, the crew looks at changing public opinion of China and how it could shape American politics. Google Podcasts - FiveThirtyEight Politics 02:13:21 - Heartland POD on Twitter - @TheHeartlandPOD Co-HostsAdam Sommer @Adam_Sommer85 Rachel Parker @RaichetP Sean Diller @SeanDillerCO https://heartlandp Nate and Galen answer listener questions in this installment of Model Talk. More Information Location: United States Genres: News & Politics Podcasts Politics News Networks: ABC News (US) Description: FiveThirtyEight Politics ABC News (US) Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. 0:00:00 david senak now. Crime analyst Jeff Asher discussed what those numbers can -- and can't -- tell us, and explains the challenges in collecting crime data. Cuomo denied the allegations, but has faced overwhelming pressure to resign from fellow Democrats, including President Joe Biden. Welcome to Internet Archive TV News! Podcast-19 - FiveThirtyEight A message from Martine. The crew discuss the 2021 gubernatorial elections in Virginia and New Jersey and the very likely recall election in California. The U.S. House Districts To Watch In 2022: 10/17/22 The team debates if Americans. They also ask whether a sentiment analysis suggesting that the press is more negative on Biden than it was on President Trump is a "good or bad use of data.". Missed Deliveries for February 2023 | by Podcast Delivery | Podcast The crew dives into four major investigations into former president Donald Trumps actions, the legal consequences he could be facing, and how the American public is reacting. The crew asks whether Biden's approval rating could be boosted by the American Rescue Plan and how popular he'd have to be to avoid a backlash at the midterms. The crew also takes a look at the changes to election law that Republicans have proposed in Georgia and other states after Trump's loss in 2020. Rev. The Sporkful production team includes Dan Pashman, Emma Morgenstern, Andres O'Hara, Tracey Samuelson, and Jared O'Connell. Subscribe and listen Also available wherever you listen to podcasts Google Stitcher iHeartRadio Castbox TuneIn If you don't already have iTunes, you can download it here. Since Jacksons confirmation is the expected outcome, the hearings similar to past ones were more about politics. The crew discusses the role of the debt ceiling in politics, why it exists in the first place, and the chances of it being abolished altogether. The crew discusses how Americans are feeling about COVID-19 and what types of restrictions they do and don't support after almost two years. Will Democrats Rally Behind President Biden In 2024? The crew tries to unpack whats driving Democrats legislative decisions and who will have to compromise to pass the party's agenda. Nate Silver's. The cofounders of Equis Research -- a political data firm focused on Latino voters -- share their research on why that swing happened. The crew discusses the results of the primary elections in Georgia, Texas, Alabama, Arkansas and Minnesota. As the House Select Committee for Jan. 6 publishes its final report, the crew considers what the committee's impact has been on American politics and former President Donald Trump's standing with voters. Tucker Carlson Has Exclusive Access To Jan. 6th Security Tapes. Ron DeSantis and former President Donald Trump. Since January 2021, eleven states have enacted laws that limit how teachers can talk about race and racism in schools and close to 200 bills have been introduced in 40 states. A lack of those relationships can actually have an impact on political behavior and interest in extreme ideologies. The Negro League Stars That MLB Kept Out And Is Finally Recognizing. The crew breaks down notable primary races in Minnesota, Vermont and Wisconsin. You can't imitate a worldview. Political scientists Yanna Krupnikov and John Barry Ryan suggest that focusing only on the Left/Right divide in American politics is reductive. Later, Monica Potts joins to discuss why voters sometimes contradict their partisan beliefs on ballot measures. The crew discusses the role partisanship has played in Americans' assessment of risk and their behavior during the pandemic. In this installment, we put that primary in context by looking more broadly at the relationship between urban centers and the Democratic Party. The crew talks about why President Biden's approval is underwater, what the consequences are for Democrats and what they can do about it. They also debate whether phone or online polling is a better tool for gauging Americans' views on sensitive topics like the death penalty, and they preview a forthcoming report on how FiveThirtyEight's forecast models did in 2020. FiveThirtyEight's COVID-19 podcast is laser-focused on evidence. The crew looks at what Americans think about aid to Ukraine one year on, how the public may respond to Sen. John Fetterman's treatment for clinical depression and former President Trump's legal liability in a Fulton County investigation. Then the team debates if a surge of women registering to vote in June could be linked to the Supreme Courts recent abortion decision. Thee also tracks the latest voting restrictions being considered by Georgia Republicans, including a proposal to end early voting on Sundays, which is when Black churches traditionally mobilize voters through "souls to the polls" events. Happy holidays! Posted by October 30, 2021 bangladesh police ranks on fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts October 30, 2021 bangladesh police ranks on fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts The Perks Workers Want Also Make Them More Productive, Democrats Are Open To Ditching Biden In 2024. The crew discusses how the other nine Republicans are faring in their bids to win reelection and debate whether CNNs new polling methodology is a good or bad use of polling. Since then, the FiveThirtyEight blog has covered a broad spectrum of subjects including politics, sports, science, economics, and popular culture. Join. In this installment of Model Talk," Nate and Galen reflect on the many twists and turns of the 2022 campaign so far, including the most salient policy issues and what the final results could tell us about pollsters performance this cycle. Millions of people were without power or heat, and in some cases water, in freezing cold temperatures for days because of severe blackouts. In this installment, civil and environmental engineer Daniel Cohan joins FiveThirtyEight's Sarah Frostenson, Maggie Koerth and Galen Druke to discuss why the blackouts occurred, where responsibility lies and how politics responds to these kinds of crises. Then the crew explains why they consider four competitive U.S. House districts to be bellwether elections for which party will win control of the House. Why Valentina Shevchenko Is A Huge Favorite And Jon Jones Isn't At Technology and politics reporter Kaleigh Rogers discusses the influence of conspiracy theories on the events that led to the Jan. 6th riot, why people believe in conspiracy theories in the first place, and what it means for the future of American politics. They also analyze the court's other recent rulings on gun restrictions and school prayer and preview some of Tuesday's biggest primary elections. In her new book, Limitless: The Federal Reserve Takes On A New Age Of Crisis, New York Times reporter Jeanna Smialek focuses on another unelected institution with a lot of power over American life: the Federal Reserve. The crew discusses how the scandals surrounding Walker have evolved over the course of his Senate campaign and how the latest could affect the outcome of the race. But some Republicans are still jockeying for position to be the next leader of the party, the most prominent of which may be Florida Governor Ron DeSantis. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss what's behind the recent movement in the forecast and answer questions from listeners. MANAGER'S SALARY. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Smialek argues that over the past century, through successive crises, the Fed has accumulated the power to choose winners and losers . Hello and welcome to the identity politics podcast I'm deal injury work. FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast They also discuss the politics of reparations after a Democratic proposal in the House to study reparations for slavery was voted out of committee for the first time since it was introduced in Congress in 1989. FiveThirtyEight Politics | Podcast on Spotify fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts - masrurratib.com Editor Chadwick Matlin turns the tables on Galen Druke and asks him questions about what hes learned from covering the 2022 election and his time as host of the podcast. The crew discusses what her path to the nomination could look like, given that Trump and Florida Gov. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses the best way to poll Americans satisfaction with their own lives and the direction of the country. They also consider whether the ensuing confirmation process will impact the countrys broader political environment in a Midterm election year. The crew checks in on the California recall election and other upcoming races, and talks about how a Trump endorsement is shaping a Wyoming primary. . In the wake of the January 6th attack on the Capitol, academics and journalists have increasingly taken the possibility of future political violence in America seriously. The team also looks at how debates about "Critical Race Theory" entered the culture wars, particularly in schools and state legislatures. FiveThirtyEight's political content often includes fact-driven statistical analysis. Texas has been in a dire situation this week. Maybe its time to get rid of election polls. Staff writer at The Atlantic Elaine Godfrey and political science professor Danny Hayes discuss the role local news plays in society and what happens when it erodes. Galen speaks with Atlanta Journal Constitution reporters Tia Mitchell and Greg Bluestein about how the Georgia senate runoff is looking in the final stretch. The crew debates why politicians break with their parties in high-profile ways and what the repercussions can be. Thirty-six governors seats are up for election this fall and the crew looks at some where full control of state government might be decided by the governors race. With one week left until Election Day, the crew analyzes some of the high-profile races and which issues Americans care about most as they enter the voting booth. The crew discusses why the number of independents has been growing and what it means for American politics. Its generally considered to be one of the most comprehensive pictures of trends within the electorate. They also consider whether abortion as an issue will motivate voters in other elections this fall and look at the primary winners in Arizona, Missouri, Michigan and Washington. FiveThirtyEight Politics 3 days ago Biden's Second State Of The Union Was His First Campaign Speech President Biden delivered his second State of the Union address on Tuesday to a newly divided. This is an unofficial transcript meant for reference. They also assess whether narratives from the 2021 gubernatorial election in Virginia hold up in light of new data, and debate the hottest legislative topic in Washington: permanent Daylight Saving Time. Editor Chadwick Matlin turns the tables on Galen Druke and asks him questions about what he's learned from covering the 2022 election and his time as host of the podcast. Galen Druke and Perry Bacon Jr. speak with political scientist and pastor, Ryan Burge, about how declining American religiosity is shaping our society and politics. In her new book How Civil Wars Start And How To Stop Them, Barbara F Walter writes we are now closer to civil war than any of us would like to believe. Member of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, Heather Boushey, joins the podcast to discuss what is in the American Rescue Plan and why. LS 81 Global Rank TOP 0.01% ABOUT THIS PODCAST Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. 04:58 PM. They also consider how Rep. George Santoss scandals will affect his tenure in Congress and whether he would have been elected at all if his fabricated biography had received more scrutiny during the campaign. Dec. 7, 2017 | Apple Podcasts | ESPN App | RSS 03 / Black Representation In North Carolina The debate over how districts should be drawn to ensure that minority voters are represented in Congress. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. The crew discusses potential sticking points in the Democrats' infrastructure plan and debates whether it should be considered bipartisan if a sizable portion of Republican voters support it, but Republican lawmakers do not. . Atlantic writer Emma Green joins to talk about her recent article, "The Liberals Who Can't Quit Lockdown.". 11:03 AM. In light of new data showing union membership at its lowest point since the Bureau of Labor Statistics began counting, they also look at how that decline has shaped U.S. politics. FiveThirtyEight - YouTube Cautionary Tales with Tim Harford on Stitcher And if partisan loyalists were to make their way onto the Fed board, that degree of power could be abused.

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