Spotlight PA. Five gubernatorial candidates will be on the Nov. 8 ballot, including Democrat Josh Shapiro (left) and Doug Mastriano (right). He was leading Mastriano by 17 among those older than 65, he now leads by 28 points, Shapiro continues to poll well among Republicans, he was winning nearly 12% of the vote 10 days ago, and he is now winning 17%, While it is unusual for a candidate to recover from such a huge gap, it is not all over for Mastriano, Mastriano leads by 25 points among Independent voters, which is a great to place to be in the moment, He needs to figure out a way to bring Moderate Republican women back to his side over the next week. Copy editing by Jennifer Mason, Andrew Mangan and Curtis Yee. Governor Bid", "Lt. governor candidate ends campaign, endorses primary opponent who shares criminal justice reform goals", "Mastriano endorses fellow Army veteran as his choice for Pa. lieutenant governor", "Toomey Endorses Coleman for Lieutenant Governor", "Russ Diamond for Lieutenant Governor of Pennsylvania | Stand for Health Freedom", "Third-party candidates file to run for Pa. governor, Senate", "Unofficial Candidate Listing Post Primary", "PA Governor Race: Third-party candidates file to run vs Shapiro/Mastriano", "Libertarian party introduces lineup of candidates for 2022", "We would like to thank the outgoing Executive Committee for their outstanding service to the party this year! Pennsylvania Midterm Election Betting Odds - Election Forecast for 2022 a ban on abortions beyond six weeks of pregnancy, Majority of 16k Canceled Pennsylvania Mail-In Ballots Were From Democrats, On a New Map, Pennsylvania Elects Most Diverse Assembly Ever, July prompted nine fellow Pennsylvania Republicans to break from their party and back Shapiro, New Jersey Bill Seeks to Ban Sale of Baby Wipes, Check Your Change! 538 reports You Gov has Shapiro up by 11 with a B plus rating for pollster and survey period Sept 6-12. PA Governor Race 2022 Predictions: Who is Gaining? Extremists in Spring, Hoping to Beat Them in Fall", "Mastriano announces candidacy for Pennsylvania governor", "Ex-GOP Rep. Lou Barletta launches bid for Pennsylvania governor", "Barletta to enter Pennsylvania's GOP stakes for governor", "The Gale brothers of Montco are teaming up to run for governor and U.S. Senate", "A GOP strategist who worked for Reagan will run for Pa. governor as a 'conservative happy warrior', "William McSwain, Ex-Federal Prosecutor In Philadelphia Appointed By Donald Trump, Seeks Former President's Backing In Governor's Race", "Trump is putting Bill McSwain in the hot seat with his election lies. @AustinDavisPA will fight for you", "LGBTQ Victory Fund endorses Brian Sims for Pennsylvania lieutenant governor", "In their first debate, Pa. GOP gov. Trafalgar asserted that Trump not only would win in 2020 (he lost by seven million votes) but also that Trump would take Pennsylvania, Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, and Michigan. This is so typical of the Dems. We rated every race in play in 2022. We're constantly speaking with campaigns to form our ratings. Mastriano prancing around in a Confederate uniform and saying goofy stuff and not relating to all media is a loser in Nov. HARRISBURG The 2022 election for Pennsylvania governor is coming soon, and Spotlight PA wants to make sure you are prepared to make your choice. In 2020, RacetotheWH was one of the most accurate forecasts in the nation and correctly called President Bidens victory in Pennsylvania. Click Hereif(typeof ez_ad_units!='undefined'){ez_ad_units.push([[320,50],'racetothewh_com-medrectangle-3','ezslot_3',639,'0','0'])};__ez_fad_position('div-gpt-ad-racetothewh_com-medrectangle-3-0');if(typeof ez_ad_units!='undefined'){ez_ad_units.push([[320,50],'racetothewh_com-medrectangle-3','ezslot_4',639,'0','1'])};__ez_fad_position('div-gpt-ad-racetothewh_com-medrectangle-3-0_1');.medrectangle-3-multi-639{border:none!important;display:block!important;float:none!important;line-height:0;margin-bottom:7px!important;margin-left:auto!important;margin-right:auto!important;margin-top:7px!important;max-width:100%!important;min-height:50px;padding:0;text-align:center!important}. So California has been flying naked under the radar for many years. pa governor race polls 2022 pa governor race polls 2022 2022 United States gubernatorial elections 2021 November 8, 2022 2023 39 governorships 36 states; 3 territories Majority party Minority party Party Republican Democratic Seats before 28 22 Seats after 26 24 Seat change 2 2 Popular vote 43,126,140 43,336,108 Percentage 49.05% 49.29% Seats up 20 16 Seats won 18 18 Democratic hold Democratic gain Republican hold Republican gain . One of the tightest governor's races in the country is between Gov. Your example isnt anywhere near enough to dispute Trafalgars record. 15.3. [78][79] On May 12, The Philadelphia Inquirer reported that former U.S. Representative Melissa Hart would also drop out and endorse Barletta. The losing campaigns Oz and Mastriano, for example then try to use the Trafalgar report to shake loose some of those clingerverse dollars. Gov. [180] Mastriano also drew accusations of antisemitism and for using anti-semitic dogwhistles against Shapiro (who is Jewish). Tom Wolf just endorse Josh Shapiro for governor in 2022? Doug Mastrianos expenditure in 2022 has been more than the funds he has collected. At the moment, Dr. Oz leads John Fetterman by 2 points. (WHTM) The four leading Republican candidates vying for Pennsylvania's open governor seat faced off on stage Wednesday night in an hour-long debate. . Who's ahead in each governors race Leading candidate's forecasted chance of winning and margin of victory in each state. On criminal justice issues, Shapiro promised to sign a bill abolishing the death penalty (after previously supporting it), but has also faced criticism from some left-wing voters for adopting a "tough on crime" image. Name. Pennsylvania governor race divides Republicans, unites Dems var k = document.getElementById('enxt-script'); Nov. 8, 2022, Kentucky, a solidly red state, reelected Rand Paul to the Senate. Pa. election 2022: Your complete guide to the candidates for governor RealClearPolitics - 2022 Latest Polls 2018 ABC News Internet Ventures. While this marked a 2.73% Republican swing from 2018, it was still 13.18% larger than Joe Biden's win in the presidential race in Pennsylvania two years earlier, and 9.86% larger than Shapiro's reelection for Attorney General that same year. Democrat Josh Shapiro will become Pennsylvania's next governor after defeating an ultra-conservative loyalist of former President Donald Trump in a race largely defined by the future of. race", "Voting rights. (Matt Rourke/AP Photo) With Democratic Gov. He worked with Trump to overturn the result and organized bus trips to the U.S. Capitol for Trumps Jan. 6 Stop the Steal rally, where he was later seen in footage with his wife passing through breached barricades set up by Capitol Police. The 2022 election for Pennsylvania governor is coming soon, and Spotlight PA wants to make sure you are prepared to make your choice. We value on-the-ground sourcing above everything else. Pa Gov race: Shapiro favored over Mastriano in 538 forecast model - ABC27 2022 Governors Forecast | FiveThirtyEight Voter who want a future for their children need to vote these extremists democratic radicals out of power! Tom Corbett polled 54.5% of the total votes. 2024 PollsPresidential ElectionSenateGOP PrimaryDem PrimaryBiden Approval Rating Tracker. Each candidates electability do they over- or under-perform compared to how a generic Democrat or Republican would run in this case. The election result was almost one-sided. Pa. Governor race: Reactions to Donald Trump's endorsement of Doug PA Candidates for US Senate, Governor Make Final Pitch for 2022 Midterm The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Leans (60%+), Likely (75%+), Safe (95%+). The underdog GOP candidate grew up in the Garden State and voted in Jersey for 28 years until 2010, the New Jersey Globe reported. Shapiro scored the largest margin for a non-incumbent candidate for governor since 1946,[5][6] and his victory marked the first time since 1844 that the Democratic Party won three consecutive gubernatorial elections in Pennsylvania. No matter how you spin it Trafalgar polls are 99% accurate. Gerow with 3%; Hart with 2%; Gale and Zama with 1%, Gerow with 3%; Hart, Gale, and "Other" with 1%; Zama with 0%, Hart with 4%, Gale with 3%, Gerow with 2%, Hart with 4%; Gale with 2%; Gerow, Zama, and "Other" (volunteered response) with 1%, "Someone else" with 5%; Hart and Zama with 2%; Gale and Gerow with 1%, Hart with 4%, Gale and Zama with 2%, Gerow with 1%, "Someone else" with 7%, Gale and Hart with 3%, Gerow with 1%, Zama with 0%, Gale, Gerow, and Hart with 3%; Zama with 2%, Gale and Hart with 3%; Gerow with 2%; Zama with 0%, Zama and "Other" (volunteered response) with 1%, "None/other" with 4%; Gale and Richey with 1%; Ciarrocchi, Gerow, Laughlin, and Zama with 0%, Meuser with 3%, Cawley with 2%, "None/other" with 1%; Gale and Richey with 1%, Withdrew after deadline, remained on ballot, Hackenburg (L) with 1%; "All others" with 2%, Hackenburg (L) with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%, Hackenburg (L) with 2%; DiGiulio (G) with 1%, Hackenburg (L) with 2%; DiGiulio (G) with 2%; Soloski (K) with <1%; "Someone else" with 1%, Hackenburg (L) with 1%; Soloski (K) with 1%; DiGuilio (G) with <1%, Hackenburg (L) with 2%, Soloski (K) with 1%, Digiulio (G) with 1%, Hackenburg (L) with <1%; Digiulio (G) with <1%; Soloski (K) with <1%, Hackenburg (L) with 3%, "someone else" with 1%, "Some other candidate" with 3%; Hackenburg (L) with 2%; "Not going to vote" with 1%, DiGuilo (G), Hackenburg (L) and Soloski (K) with 1%, DiGuilo (G) and Hackenburg (L) with 1%; Soloski (K) with <1%, Hackenburg (L) with 3%; "Someone else" with 1%, Hackenburg (L) with 2%; DiGiulio (G) and "Some other candidate" with 1%; Soloski (K) with 0%, DiGuilo (G) and Hackenburg (L) with 1%; Soloski (K) and "someone else" with <1%, Poll sponsored by the Democratic Governors Association, This poll was sponsored by Center Street PAC, which opposes Mastriano, This poll was sponsored by the Environmental Voter Project, This poll was sponsored by EDF Action and NRDC Action Fund, Last edited on 28 February 2023, at 23:35, 2022 United States gubernatorial elections, Pennsylvania's 2nd congressional district, Pennsylvania's 13th congressional district, Pennsylvania's 8th congressional district, Pennsylvania's 4th congressional district, Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district, Pennsylvania's 7th congressional district, American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees, Eastern Atlantic States Regional Council of Carpenters, Greater Pennsylvania Regional Council of Carpenters, International Brotherhood of Boilermakers, International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers, International Union of Operating Engineers, Laborers' International Union of North America, Sheet Metal Workers' International Association, President pro tempore of the Pennsylvania Senate, Speaker of the Pennsylvania House of Representatives, Pennsylvania's 17th congressional district, Pennsylvania's 1st congressional district, Pennsylvania's 16th congressional district, Pennsylvania's 9th congressional district, White House Chief Strategist and Senior Counselor to the President, White House Director of Political Affairs, Pennsylvania's 12th congressional district, Speaker of the United States House of Representatives, Pennsylvania's 15th congressional district, Pennsylvania's 18th congressional district, conspiracy theories about the 2020 election, United States Secretary of Homeland Security, Pennsylvania Department of Public Welfare, Wyoming's at-large congressional district, Pennsylvania's 6th congressional district, Pennsylvania's 5th congressional district, Association of Pennsylvania State College and University Faculties, Pennsylvania Association of Staff Nurses and Allied Professionals, Pennsylvania Professional Firefighters Association, National Democratic Redistricting Committee, Gettysburg National Battlefield Museum Foundation, United States Secretary of Housing and Urban Development, Pennsylvania's 11th congressional district, Pennsylvania's 10th congressional district, Pennsylvania's 14th congressional district, America First Secretary of State Coalition, Pennsylvania's 21st congressional district, "Pennsylvania GOP panics over possible Mastriano nomination", "Doug Mastriano, a far-right 2020 election denier, is Pennsylvania Republicans' choice for governor", "Far-right election denier Mastriano wins GOP race for governor in Pennsylvania", "A far-right election denier wins GOP governor primary in swing state of Pennsylvania", "Pennsylvania Democrats kept suburbs, gained rural voters", "The Jewish Obama, Niceness Makes a Comeback, The Best PA Reporter Commutes From London (Midterm election recap)", "Despite Still Not Having Announced His Run, Abington's Josh Shapiro is Presumptive Democratic Nomination for Governor", "How Josh Shapiro locked down the Democratic nomination for governor without even announcing he would run", "Everyone's already talking about Pennsylvania's big 2022 elections. In 2010, a Republican Tom Corbett became the Governor of Pennsylvania for the last time and since then a Democrat has been occupying the Office of the Governor of Pennsylvania. Meanwhile, Mastriano pushed fora ban on abortions beyond six weeks of pregnancy while in the state Senate. 538 has Shapiro with 91 percent chance of victory. The final 2022 governor race ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. A consensus outlook for the 2022 elections for governor based on the current ratings of these seven forecasters . Alinskys Rule 5 and right out of the box. Shapiro also made history by earning the most votes of any gubernatorial candidate in the state's history, garnering just over three million votes. According to the office of Alamance County's sheriff, the 23-year-old black male of 4805 Governor Cherry Circle in Efland was sitting in a parked vehicle with another individual when the deputies swung by the business at about 12:05 a.m. Tavion Jarelle Henderson. We're in this fight for the future of Pennsylvania and the stakes are high. McConnell just wants power and has flat out said he doesnt care about bipartisanship for more than a decade. Jobs. Mastriano, who claims the 2020 election was stolen from former President Donald Trump, remained registered and eligible to vote in New Jersey until notifying authorities that he was no longer living there in 2021.. Ten candidates running to be Pennsylvania's next governor are (top row, from left) Republicans Lou Barletta, Jake Corman, Joe Gale, Charlie Gerow, Melissa. Mugshots and/or arrest records published on this website are in no way The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which names the party whose candidate wins the 2022 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election. Some Republicans describe GOP nominee Doug Mastriano as borderline unelectable. His opponent first gained a following by leading anti-shutdown rallies during the early months of the coronavirus pandemic, then became among former President Trumps most dedicated supporters during the 2020 campaign. The field is still taking shape, but it's already clear there's a lot at stake both races are currently categorized by the Cook Political Report as toss-ups. All Democrats happy talk before and Democrats tears is the aftermath. At Stake in Pa. Governor Race: Abortion, Presidency It's pretty obvious", "Attorney General Josh Shapiro announces long-expected run for Pennsylvania governor", "Josh Shapiro wants Austin Davis, a 32-year-old Western Pa. lawmaker, to be his lieutenant governor", "Josh Shapiro has a short list of potential picks he might endorse as a running mate", "Shapiro campaigns for governor in Scranton", "Attorney General Josh Shapiro makes campaign appearance in Erie", "Pa. Rep. Patty Kim explores run for lieutenant governor", "No Joshing, zero Democrats are in the 2022 race for Pa. governor", "Democratic frontrunner for lieutenant governor, Brian Sims visits northcentral Pa. in a unique way", "Philly DA Larry Krasner won't debate his Republican challenger, calling it 'a waste of time', "For Josh Shapiro, the only Dem candidate for Pa. governor, it's all going according to plan", "Pennsylvania AFL-CIO endorses Josh Shapiro for governor", "Unions Help Fuel Democrat Shapiro's $10 Million Warchest in Run for Pa. "[182], No debate was held during the general election, as Shapiro and Mastriano were unable to come to an agreement on how to debate. Cool. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own gubernatorial forecast. that guide every prediction he makes. Mastriano will get in your way. Trafalgar is the outfit that admits to doctoring its results with a proprietary secret sauce and has acknowledged that it changed the recipe after being humiliated in 2020. Republicans want to take care of inflation and close the southern border. Reaching across party lines worked with people that are interested and most are not. Shapiro's revenge: a massive bank account", "Boyd backs Shapiro, calls Mastriano an 'extremist', "Fulop holding fundraiser for Shapiro in Pennsylvania governor's race", "Josh Shapiro pitches economic plan during visit to Pittsburgh's robotics row", "Helen Gym Is Ready for Battle Over Roe, the Sixers and More", "Transcript: Leadership During Crisis with Philadelphia Mayor Jim Kenney", "SClout has three questions every Election Day. [160][161][162], Attorney General Josh Shapiro ran a progressive campaign emphasized on protecting abortion rights, voter rights, and raising the state's minimum wage to $15 an hour. enxt.src = '//electnext.com/api/v1/info_widget.js'; 2010 Pennsylvania Governor Race: After 2 consecutive terms of Democratic Governor, in 2010 the Republican party was finally able to win the state. Their polls are the only worthwhile ones because they fulfill the honest intent of a poll. The state enforces parking for the disabled during public holidays Trafalgars record in honest elections is unmatched. But maybe a whole lot of people just dont vote because they all figure its totally useless here since leftist democrats have super-majorities in all areas of the state. The Trafalgar Group poll was conducted September 13-15 with 1,078 respondents and a margin of error of +/- 2.9%. See the rest of our predictions. John Fetterman for the Senate, while Republicans backed Doug. [316], 2022 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election at Ballotpedia. Fetterman vs Oz Polls: Fetterman wins Pennsylvania Senator Race A Biden +20 seat should. Arizona, Wisconsin move to Leans Republican; Kansas, Oregon to Leans Democratic. ', "Pa. Attorney General Josh Shapiro launches Democratic bid for governor", "An early guide to Pennsylvania's 2022 Senate and governor's primary election", "Pa. Attorney General Josh Shapiro will seek Democratic nod for governor in 2022", "Shapiro skates to Democratic governor's nod in Pennsylvania", "Tega Swann announces candidacy for governor in 2022 election", "John Fetterman launches Senate bid in Pennsylvania", "Philadelphia Mayor Jim Kenney says he won't run for Pa. governor or U.S. Senate", "Toomey's exit kick-starts 2022 guesswork among Pa. politicos", "No, Joe Torsella isn't running for governor yet. The final 2022gubernatorial race ratingsfrom Louis Jacobson for U.S. News & World Report. Watch our interview with him live:", "NARAL endorses Shapiro in Pennsylvania gov. Design and development by Ryan Best, Aaron Bycoffe, Christopher Groskopf, Ritchie King, Ella Koeze, Dhrumil Mehta, Jasmine Mithani, Mary Radcliffe, Anna Wiederkehr and Julia Wolfe. Tom Wolf polled 54.9% of the total votes and won the election by nearly 10%. Josh Shapiro defeated Doug Mastriano by 14.8%. Voters must be registered to vote by 5 p.m. May 2 and apply for an absentee or mail-in ballot by 5 p.m. May. In the Republican field, the polls have shown Doug Mastriano leading since the very beginning. Democrat Josh Shapiro will become Pennsylvanias next governor after defeating an ultra-conservative loyalist of former President Donald Trump in a race largely defined by the future of abortion rights in the state, NBC News projects. Pennsylvania Governor - Republican Primary. LUCID Stock Forecast 2023: LCID Is In A Free Fall, Time to Buy the Dip? Source: Associated Press. Predictions for the 2022 Senate Election, by one of the nations best forecasters. Things were way better for America when Republicans were in control. Pennsylvania Governor Race 2022: Election Forecast, Ratings - Politico MULN Stock Forecast 2023: Can MULN Rise Above $0.30? We're tracking new legislative maps as they come out, and crunching the numbers. We can't go that far in this electoral environment, but there's no doubt Republicans hurt their chances of flipping the governorship by nominating a candidate this extreme to face Democratic state Attorney General Josh Shapiro. Democratic state attorney general Josh Shapiro defeated Republican state senator Doug Mastriano in a landslide victory to succeed term-limited incumbent Democratic governor Tom Wolf. The Toss-up tan color is used where neither party currently has a 60% or higher chance of winning. Before even discussing climate change one should consult coal productio & usage worldwide & the tell everyone how sacrifices by US would change anything. Dan Onorato on the other hand polled 45.5% of the total votes. 20.3. Race: DeSantis to campaign for Mastriano in Pennsylvania", "Some Republicans Warm to Far-Right Candidate for Pa. Inmate Inquiry. Who's ahead in the Pennsylvania governor race? Wake up while there is still time, Seems its the democrats that are the danger to the country, Majority of sex offenders are liberal, stop killings robberies and pedophila and maybe democrats wont be bottom feeders. However, apart from donations, candidates also use external funds for their campaign expenditures. He smashed. How to Bet On the PA Governor Race 2022: Pennsylvania Governor Polls HUGHESVILLE BOROUGH, LYCOMING COUNTY (WBRE/WYOU) Pennsylvania State Police-Mountoursville says they have arrested a suspect involved in an armed robbery from November 2022, at a CITGO in . Editing by Sarah Frostenson. Pennsylvania is one of the most competitive swing states in the Union, but the last two governor races have been anything but close. Sofi Stock Forecast 2023: Will SOFI Stock Recover? Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party. South Central PA is an extremely vote-rich area and the counties of Cumbria, Northumberland, and Lebanon will be battlegrounds again. Pennsylvania 2022 governor's race fund-raising reports show election up We and our partners share information on your use of this website to help improve your experience. Yen Poised To Head Higher Again As BOJ Nears Bond-Buying Limits By Simon White, Bloomberg Markets Live reporter and strategist Inflation pressures and financial-stability risks will likely prompt the BOJ to pull back on its bond-buying policy sooner than expected, boosting the yen . ", "Why is Josh Shapiro running for governor? Go back. Copyright 2023 NBCUniversal Media, LLC. I'm humbled and honored to have you standing with me", "As Pennsylvania Attorney General, @JoshShapiroPA has taken on the big fights. In a 2019 interview, he said that women should be charged with murder if they violated his proposed abortion ban. October 28:Connecticut moves from Likely to Safe Democratic; Michigan Likely to Leans Democratic; New York Safe to Likely Democratic. Justice. 2022 Pennsylvania Governor Election and Debate Today's Forecast Shapiro formally nominates cabinet Pennsylvania Politics / 1 month ago (WHTM) Pennsylvania Governor-elect Josh. Doug Mastriano, the Republican candidate for Pennsylvania governor, was reportedly registered to vote in New Jersey until last year, opening himself up to the same carpetbagger accusations that have dogged Dr. Mehmet Oz. The veto pen of outgoing, term-limited Democratic Gov. ", "How Josh Shapiro is trying to turn out Black voters in Philly, a crucial group for Democrats", "Pa. GOP players form pro-Shapiro PAC to buck 'unacceptable' Mastriano", "Governors races take on new prominence, with higher stakes", "Unlikely duo: John Fetterman, Josh Shapiro aim for united front", "Democrat Josh Shapiro picks up Republican endorsements in race for governor", "Shapiro endorses western Pa. representative for lieutenant governor", "Cheney says she'll campaign against Lake and Mastriano because of their election denials", "Leading GOP candidates in Pennsylvania were in Washington on Jan. 6", "Austin Davis announces bid for lieutenant governor, backed by Josh Shapiro", "Dems to launch statewide tour, arguing GOP is 'too extreme' for Pa. voters", "With Roe v. Wade gone, both sides see Pa. as a battlefield for the future of abortion rights", "Kinzinger endorses Dems in major governor, secretary of state races", "Shapiro uses Swarthmore visit to outline how he sees gubernatorial race", "Josh Shapiro, Austin Davis announce $1.4 million campaign to reach Black voters in Pa", "Gubernatorial candidate Josh Shapiro stops in Erie part of bus tour", "We've seen firsthand that to defend reproductive rights and protect our freedoms, we need a Democratic governor", "Josh Shapiro, John Fetterman Hold 'Rally In The Valley' Event At Old Main", "Shapiro joins Fiedler, Saval for launch of South Philly Voter Project", "Once Alarmed, Mainstream Pennsylvania Republicans Unite Around Mastriano", "Shapiro hosts community conversation in West Philly on criminal justice reform, how to keep communities safe", "President Biden emphasizes union support at United Steelworkers Labor Day event in West Mifflin", "Shapiro rallies in Beaver County a week before election", "Bucks County Republicans Fundraise For Shapiro, Blast Mastriano", "Mastriano mocks Shapiro as 'little Josh.'
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pa governor race 2022 predictions