Footballguys staff members discuss running backs who are overvalued. In addition, Antonio Gibson finished the year banged up and ceding snaps to McKissic. But so far, there is nothing to suggest that it is, and all three running backs are likely to play plenty. So what's the concern? The team didn't improve a problem defensive line. The coaching staff did not ignore this, as they selected the best pass-catching running back in the fifth round of the NFL Draft in Kenneth Gainwell. Ryan Hester: This isnt a knock on Harris, whose athletic profile and projected workload are things fantasy players dream of. Dave Kluge: To close out the 2020 season, Cam Akers saw 21, 29, 15, and 21 carries over his last four games. He's never carried the ball more than 132 times in a season. Additionally, Brandon Bolden -- a member of Josh McDaniels' Patriot teams -- is with the club. Investing in Sanders as your RB2 is likely to leave you feeling disappointed. Gordon isn't going away just because fantasy managers want him to. And Hill is only touchable due to the cheat code rushing factor for quarterbacks. It seems the case that he is being drafted well above his upside. There is no upside with drafting Gaskin this high. Jeff Haseley: The Dolphins have a three-headed approach to the running back position this year. He also is a touchdown liability -- he's scored 5, 6, and 4 touchdowns in three of his four seasons (11 the other season), which had led to finishing outside the Top 25 each of those years. He's not a player to build your team around if you pick in the top half of the first round. most overrated running backs of all time. Yes, but it doesn't feel like he'll be a top-10 type of running back, even in the Chiefs' potent offense. Over the past decade, the NFL has really evolved into a passing league. If you look at Bettis total career marks, you will see that he is 5th on the all time rushing yards list and 10th in TDs. David Johnson, Houston | Consensus Rankings RB39 | Consensus Projections RB47. Andrew Davenport: Fournette's production in the playoffs was artificially inflated by the injury to Ronald Jones II, and part of Fournette's regular-season fantasy production last year was due to his pass-catching role. As everyone knows by now, Montgomery faced some of the worst run defenses in the league to put up those huge numbers over that finishing stretch. In 2019, the Lions tried to steal him away with a restricted free agent offer. Davis has changed teams five times in the last three seasons. Walter Payton 5. 5. 3 back on the depth chart before the first preseason game. Sigmund Bloom: The Raiders are going to adopt a frustrating Patriots-style committee at running back under Josh McDaniels, which means that Jacobs will be at best Damien Harris in this offense. Weve seen flashes of Raheem Mostert over the last couple of years feasting in this offense, but its sporadic and challenging to predict. 20 20. With talented guys like Brady, Manning, Brees, Rodgers. The 2021 season will either change from the norm of what we have seen from Edmonds in the past or a new role where he flourishes with an increase in volume. Green Bay seems to like A.J. When I was comparing Bettis stats to the the 3 RBs I mentioned above, I saw that Bettis was highly overrated. Vegas used other backs last year and pigeonholed Jacobs as a two-down grinder. We don't yet know how much of Kamara's past success as a pass-catcher to attribute to Brees. LaDainian Tomlinson 6. A new offensive coordinator in Pittsburgh also adds uncertainty to the situation. Johnson was once a big name at the running back position and is still getting drafted based on that name and past production. Drafters are still grabbing David Johnson due to projected volume, yet in their first preseason game, Houston utilized Phillip Lindsay on first and second downs with the starters while David Johnson was restricted to a third-down role. Williams can still be a great producer, but at his ADP, I won't be drafting him when he isn't getting the bulk of the touches. He yields passing work to J.D. James Brimacombe: Once Kenyan Drake was out of the picture, we shot Edmonds up the draft board naturally. 1 cornerstone. Gibson is more likely to lose his job than return a significant profit on his draft price. Phil Alexander: Michael Thomas' ankle injury opens up additional targets for Kamara, who will operate as New Orleans' de facto No. 5 / 30. Jamal Lewis-- RB, 2000-06 There have been seven running backs who have rushed for 2,000 yards in a season, and Jamal Lewis is by far the least memorable of the bunch. He also has a new coaching staff, a new play-caller, and a new system to learn. We use cookies to personalize content, ads and analyze site traffic. Sigmund Bloom: Swift is surely more likely than Jamaal Williams to be the hot hand in the Detroit backfield, but Swift's ADP is too high for any back that has to rely on the hot hand approach to get the majority of the volume in the backfield. Manchester City's most overrated players in the Premier League Here are some stats from footballoutsiders.com: * Note: ADY =. Adrian . Gordon was adequate last year, but that was almost purely on volume. By the season's end, Mike Davis will be a case of "I knew it," but the guy who pushes him down or out is pure guesswork at this stage. James Robinson, Jacksonville | Consensus Rankings RB28 | Consensus Projections RB29. Deion Sanders tops the list of overrated cornerbacks. At times he looked like the future back Detroit has been looking for this century. The current regime did not select Robinson. We use cookies to personalize content, ads and analyze site traffic. Gibson fumbled in the preseason opener, and ball security has been an issue as he coughed up the football four times last year. Gibson was even in the game after Robinson was out. Anthony Amico: Dobbins is being drafted as if he has a far greater stranglehold on this Ravens backfield than he likely will. Is the 40 Yard Dash the Most Overrated Test for Running | STACK Jason Wood: Preseason depth charts aren't perfectly predictive, but the new Texans coaching staff clearly sent a message listing Johnson as the No. Alvin Kamara, New Orleans | Consensus Rankings RB3 | Consensus Projections RB2. Most Overrated RB Of All-Time - Bleacher Report Robinsons workload will dramatically decrease this season, and drafters arent taking that into account as much as they should. Top 20 Most Overrated NFL Players Of All Time | TheRichest most overrated running backs of all time. The team likes fourth-round pick Zamir White and passing down back Ameer Abdullah, and Kenyan Drake is still on the roster, so Jacobs is going to have trouble being consistent enough to merit an every-week RB2 start. THE MOST OVERRATED FANTASY FOOOTBALL RBs | 2022 Fantasy Football Advice Jason Wood: Sanders is talented, and when healthy, was productive under former head coach Doug Pederson. Projections, Get The Most Out Of Your The Ravens view Gus Edwards and Dobbins as co-starters who are both vital cogs, and the front office rewarded Edwards with a new contract supporting his role. Frank: Most overrated and underrated Eagles: RBs | RSN He rewarded those believers with an RB18 PPG season. Now, if the right-back fully lived up to his potential, then he could have been a Man City great. David Johnson, Arizona Cardinals. Think about that for a moment. Michael Carter, NY Jets | Consensus Rankings RB37 | Consensus Projections RB36. Gordon has always been a runner that needs a large workload to produce fantasy stats. First, Johnson turns 30 in December, and considering all the injuries he's dealt with in his NFL career, it's hard to see him aging well. Terrell Davis, Edgerrin James, Reggie Bush, Rashard Mendenhall, Jamaal Charles, and recently, Dalvin Cook all took over a season of play to return to form if they did at all. The new coaching staff is inexperienced (second-youngest in the NFL), the system is unproven, the quarterback will gobble up a ton of rushing yards and touchdowns, and the front office has added running back depth aggressively in the offseason. Ryan Hester: Chubb shares his backfield with a very talented player in Kareem Hunt, and Hunt is the one who gets the lions share of the passing game work. Phil Alexander: Drew Brees is arguably the best screen game quarterback in NFL history. Here are the players who received the most votes: And here are all of the players mentioned and the reasons why. Kareem Hunt, Cleveland | Consensus Rankings RB22 | Consensus Projections RB24. Lynn will also rely on the hot hand approach - and Swift is more likely to run hot than Williams - but how often will this offense and team play well enough to give Swift a favorable game script. Most Overrated NFL Players of All Time by Team | Stadium Talk Jason Wood: Sometimes fate aligns, and that's what happened for Mike Davis last year in Carolina. Johnson himself has acknowledged it, and the backs' usage in the first preseason game indicates frustration for anyone wanting to farm this barren land. For example, take Imagine Dragons and Maroon 5, both very accomplished. Aaron Jones, Green Bay | Consensus Rankings RB7 | Consensus Projections RB6. That, plus the uncertainty of Edmond's role, leaves me more concerned than excited. Tevin Coleman is one of those veteran thorns in the sides of young backs to garner touches. Ten different running backs had more targets alone than the entire Ravens backfield in 2020. Drafting running backs on the downside of their career, on bad offenses, in a platoon situation, is fraught with peril. Without the volume, he is hard to use. Gordon was adequate last year, but that was almost purely on volume. Andy Hicks: D'Andre Swift had a patchy rookie season. There's zero appeal here. His current draft price is almost his upside. In 2020, James Conner ranked 36th and Benny Snell ranked 54th in expected yards-per-carry out of 55 qualifiers, a sign of a weak offensive line and scheme. Brown should have a role, most likely on early downs and at the goal-line, which would sink Gaskins chances of living up to his ADP. Adrian Peterson 10. Here are the NFL running backs with the most career touchdown runs over 50 yards (based on stats through 2016). However, the floor is lower than the surrounding running backs in cost. Malcolm Brown should play plenty, and this offense isn't likely to be explosive enough to support two running backs in any meaningful way. This is exactly what the Steelers tried to do by selecting Najee Harris in the first round in the NFL Draft. Davis was great in relief of Christian McCaffrey in Carolina last year, but he got tired quickly. only site on the planet. Barring an injury to Chubb, Hunt will drive you crazy trying to figure out when to start him as anything other than a flex option. Single Pittsburghs front five looks nothing like last years group. Ben Cummins: Im a big fan of Antonio Gibsons talent, but he will have to overcome a lot of hurdles to pay off his current ADP. Swift relied heavily on touchdown production for his fantasy numbers. Chase Edmonds, Arizona | Consensus Rankings RB25 | Consensus Projections RB23. If Johnson is the starter, he is probably a value where he is being drafted, but I'm not taking him at his current cost without some reassuring news about his role in the coming weeks. Daniel Jones was one of the most uninspiring quarterbacks in the league last year. The Top Ten. Yeah, us, too. Brown has always been a strong contributor inside the five-yard line scoring 9 rushing touchdowns in the last two years in that hot zone. If Robinson claims goal line work, there is an upward battle for returning a value in his ADP. Andy Hicks: The Broncos dont seem overly excited to use Melvin Gordon III this year. And the Titans got worse this offseason, losing wide receiver Corey Davis, tight end Jonnu Smith, cornerback Adoree' Jackson, and defensive end Jadeveon Clowney. I think this is pretty unfair to call him the most overrated. Now we can extinguish any hopes of Jacobs getting more involved in the passing game. Gibsons problems with fumbles have been a complaint of Ron Rivera, and he has already shown it is not gone in the preseason. Pat Fitzmaurice: First, a hat tip: For a guy who was a nonfactor in Purdue's offense for four years and was mostly a special-teamer in his first four NFL seasons, Mostert turned out to be a pretty good running back. Tevin Coleman was specifically brought in because he knows the run-blocking schemes the Jets will employ this year, and Ty Johnson hasn't gone anywhere either. He's not a player to build your team around if you pick in the top half of the first round. If you're optimistic about the Lions running game, take Williams at a deep discount from Swift's highly aspirational price tag. Scoring at least once in 9 games (16 gms total) yields a 56% chance of a score in each game. He also spent his first 5 years on the saints, where he got 20 carries exactly 2 times there. Pat Fitzmaurice: This is the type of player I won't draft at any cost. Now, these guys are treated with all the respect of disposable diapers. Eric Dickerson 8. 9 out of the 13 years Bettis played in the NFL he averaged less than 4 yards per carry. The Five Most Overrated Fantasy Football Running Backs in 2019. Gaskin has an RB2 ceiling, but an RB3 value is a much stronger likelihood than many realize, whether it's Brown or a summer free-agent acquisition like Todd Gurley, Adrian Peterson, or a recent starter a team lets go to make room for an emerging force. Dave Kluge: The 49ers drafted Trey Sermon and Elijah Mitchell and signed free agent Wayne Gallman. Nick Chubb, Cleveland | Consensus Rankings RB10 | Consensus Projections RB12. Along with McKissic, Gibson will have to contend with Brian Robinson Jr, a rookie from Alabama. David Montgomery Dynasty Profile: Fantasy Outlook, Value, Projections He's as gifted a receiver as he is a runner, which allows him to have huge games regardless of game script. His knee injury involved multiple ligament tears, and the Giants are likely to bring him along slowly. Sigmund Bloom: Brian Robinson Jr had an excellent preseason debut, while Antonio Gibson fumbled *again*, so this is trending in the wrong direction for Gibson's 2022 redraft value. If Gordon's injury is extended, Williams could be appropriately priced, but until there is more information, he is an avoid at cost. Edmonds is a great player who offers a ton of talent on the field to help win games, but he will never be the high volume type of player that we are all desperately looking for each year. Phil Alexander: The epic stretch-run that led Montgomery to an RB4 finish in 2020 came with Tarik Cohen sidelined and against the defenses of Green Bay, Detroit, Houston, Minnesota, and Jacksonville, respectively. The flip side of succeeding with value players is failing with overvalued players. Andy Hicks: Austin Ekeler isnt going to rush anyone to a fantasy title. Worst of all, he is now playing on the Houston Texans, who have no identity on offense heading into the season. He showed elite promise in his rookie year and followed it up with a top 10 season despite a high ankle sprain limiting his ascension. Kevin Coleman: Antonio Gibsons value took a hit this offseason. Search my work, about me, and maybe -if I ever get around to it - my blog. James Brimacombe: I view Melvin Gordon III this season a lot like I viewed Leonard Fournette in Jacksonville last offseason. Draft capital is not a predictor of talent as much as a predictor of opportunity. Leave him there for the next guy to take him. Jason Wood: We all want Dobbins to be an every-down workhorse. Bettis was nothing more than an average RB for a long period of time (13 years). When we go into advanced stats, we can tell even more about Bettis: * Note: The stats are Bettis averages per season, not total career. Crimson Tide skill players have been pretty good coming into the NFL recently, and Robinson's early start to camp has been generating buzz. Whenever a new coaching group comes in, especially an inexperienced one, there is always the risk that players with a high fantasy price underachieve. Fred Taylor James Robinson, Jacksonville | Consensus Rankings RB29 | Consensus Projections RB30. I'm out. The Brazilian won the Ballon d'Or in 2005 and has been inducted into the Milan hall of fame for his impact between 2008 and 2011 before heading back to his homeland. Victoria Geary: Dobbins is an elite talent on the best rushing offense in the NFL. Jordan McNamara: Javonte Williams got a major bump in value in the offseason when Melvin Gordon III was a free agent. Not to mention I expect this offense to throw the ball a lot more than last year due to the addition of Russell Wilson and new Head Coach Nathaniel Hackett. There have been 49 running backs taken among the first 10 picks since 1960, and Byars has the lowest rushing average of the bunch. I feel like most drafting Gordon right now are doing it on name value, but he now has plenty of competition with Javonte Williams and Mike Boone as priority adds this offseason. Most Overrated QB: Tom Brady 1 of 6 In no way am I saying Bettis should not be a hall of famer. Drew Davenport: Through nine games last year, Montgomery was the 26th ranked PPR running back in points per game at 12.2 a contest. Zamir White is looking like a capable back and could eat into Jacobs' carries. Swift has already broken the injury seal with a groin issue in camp, and Jamaal Williams has already been spoken of highly as a potential 1A to Swift's No. 15 receptions, 111 yards, less than a TD per year. David Montgomery, Chicago | Consensus Rankings RB18 | Consensus Projections RB18. If he is still on the opening day roster, his workload will be usurped by the rookie when the coaching staff trusts him. Only he and Jim brown had a full career average of 5.0 ypc lifetime. The Ravens have also continued to trust Gus Edwards and have kept the backfield intact as a true timeshare. In 2019, his last full season, Cohen averaged 5.8 yards per catch and 4.4 yards per target -- terrible numbers for a third-down back.

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